What will Manifold's ND1 retention be on Oct 1st?
closes Oct 2

We've come to think that new user retention is our highest priority.

Today, we have just under 15% of users come back the day after they sign up to place a bet. That is our ND1 (New user Day 1) metric.

What will it be in 1 month?

Get Ṁ500 play money

Related questions

Will Destiny create a Manifold account during Manifest?
Gen avatarGenzy
29% chance
Will anyone get a Manifold Tattoo by the end of Manifest?
Joshua avatarJoshua
29% chance
Will Grimes tweet about Manifold or Manifest by Halloween?
Joshua avatarJoshua
36% chance
Who will be on top of the “Manifold User Retention” leaderboard on October 3rd? (Resolves W/P/S)
What will be Manifold's favorite work overall?
What will be the next Manifold Main Event?
Will the manifold app change its theme for Halloween this year?
firstuserhere avatarfirstuserhere
64% chance
When all is said and done, who will profit the most in my Manifold survey group?
Will @CGPGrey return to Manifold this year?
xyz avatarYoav
34% chance
In a year, will I think Manifold has been a good use of my time?
NicoDelon avatarNico D
33% chance
If Manifold offers a Graphql API, how many users will it have from one week after launch to two weeks after launch?
Will Manifold outperform Metaculus in 2023 ACX contest?
ZanyEconomist avatarZanyEconomist
44% chance
How will Manifold perform against Astral Codex 2023 "Full Mode" prediction contest?
kenakofer avatarkenakofer
69% chance
What will be the first Manifold question to be #1 on Hacker News?
SG avatarS G
Manifold discord channel for graphene in sep 23?
StrayClimb avatarCalvinball
4% chance
Will superforecasters aggregated outperform Manifold in 2023 ACX prediction contest?
ZanyEconomist avatarZanyEconomist
46% chance
Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive?
Predictor avatarPredictor 🔥
46% chance
What will be the next change to the Manifold Loan scheme?
Will any of the "I work on Manifold!" set their favorite programming language to 🦀?
astyerche avatarpower creep
40% chance
How many people will work at Manifold at end of next year?