Who will Thekla be satisfied with, if they're hired, through the end of 2024?
2
95Ṁ80
Jun 2

Thekla is a small game dev studio led by Jonathan Blow.

Jonathan Blow is a high-functioning programmer, and a game and programming-language designer and developer.

https://twitter.com/Jonathan_Blow/status/1730674078053265801

Resolution intention (not sure if Manifold affords it):

  • Resolve un-hired options as ambiguous,

  • Resolve hired options as a score Thekla gives them when they have enough info to resolve (9/10 would be 90%, 6/10 would be 60%).

Approx resolution date: June 1, 2024

If I can't resolve options to fractions, then

  • Resolve hired AND Thekla happy-with-them as true/yes/positive.

  • Resolve un-hired options as ambiguous

  • Resolve hired AND Thekla unhappy-with-them as false/no/negative.

Intended resolution source: average-score of the hiring company, maybe weighted by fraction of ownership.
(De facto I'll probably just try to get @Jonathan_Blow to resolve.
His standards are higher than the industry average, so adjust estimates accordingly)

Nuke-the-question clause.
If you're one of the choices or you're Thekla and have a large (especially negative) stake in any outcome, don't be :surprised pikachu: if I decide to resolve everything ambiguous.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy