Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if Lena passes her driving test on March 11th, 2026 on her first attempt. Resolution requires confirmation that she took the test on that specific date and passed without having previously failed the test.

Background

Driving test pass rates vary significantly by region and test type. In most jurisdictions, first-attempt pass rates range from 45-50%, though this varies based on factors like the testing authority, whether it's a practical or written exam, and individual preparation level.