Intention: This market aims to predict the Rotten Tomatoes Critic Score of the upcoming film "Bottoms".

The market will close October 1st, 2023, no earlier. Resolution will be based on the RT score when the market closes. Wide release is scheduled for September 1, 2023.

The 'headline' Rotten Tomatoes score will be used.

• Note that Rotten tomatoes has a slight rounding UP (Ie, 89.95% -> 90%).

• RT is also 'bumpy' as reviews come in, with non-scored reviews sometimes needing manual review to evaluate if they are positive or negative.

• The film premiered at the South by Southwest Film Festival, and currently has 30 reviews, 29 Fresh, 1 Rotten.

Link to RT page: Bottoms - Rotten Tomatoes

PREMIERED: March 11, 2023
LIMITED RELEASE: August 25, 2023
WIDE RELEASE: September 1, 2023

MARKET CREATION DATE: July 30, 2023

MARKET CLOSE DATE: October 1st, 2023
MARKET RESOLUTION DATE: October 2nd, 2023

Why am I interested in this market: The film received rave reviews in its premiere, and I was lucky enough to see an early screening. Having a sample of early reviews makes this market a bit unusual compared to films that have a review embargo. I want to learn more about how predictions differ when a prior is set.