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MANIFOLD
If elected, will Abdul El-Sayed serve on the Senate Foreign Relations committee?
2
Ṁ1kṀ3
Nov 15
10%
chance

Resolves YES if Abdul El-Sayed is on the United States Senate Committee on Foreign Relations after the first assignment in the 120th Congress.

If he is later added to the committee in future months/years, it doesn’t count for this market. Only the first Committee assignments will be used.

Resolves NO if he wins and is not on the committee.

Resolves n/a if he loses his 2026 senate election.

AI explainer on how you get on the committee:

it's a party process, then a formal Senate vote.

  1. Request. Senators, usually at the start of a new Congress, tell their party which committees they want.

  2. Party selection. Each party picks its own members. Republicans use their Steering Committee and Democrats use their Steering and Outreach Committee. They weigh seniority, the senator's preferences, expertise, regional and ideological balance, and the leader's input.

  3. Party seat count. The majority party gets more seats and sets the ratio. The current committee has 22 seats, 12 Republican and 10 Democratic.

  4. Approval. Each conference ratifies its slate, and then the full Senate adopts a resolution formalizing the assignments. This vote is almost always a formality.

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