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MANIFOLD
2026 World Cup — final top-4 standing?
18
Ṁ200Ṁ2.3k
resolved Jul 19
100%95%
1st Spain, 2nd Argentina, 3rd England, 4th France
0.9%
1st Spain, 2nd Argentina, 3rd France, 4th England
1.5%
1st Argentina, 2nd Spain, 3rd France, 4th England
1.1%
1st Argentina, 2nd Spain, 3rd England, 4th France
0.3%
1st Spain, 2nd England, 3rd France, 4th Argentina
0.3%
1st Spain, 2nd England, 3rd Argentina, 4th France
0.3%
1st England, 2nd Spain, 3rd France, 4th Argentina
0.3%
1st England, 2nd Spain, 3rd Argentina, 4th France

Which exact 1st/2nd/3rd/4th ordering will the 2026 World Cup finish on?

Fixtures

- Semi-final 1 (Jul 14): Spain 2–0 France.

- Semi-final 2 (Jul 15): England vs Argentina.

- Third-place playoff — Sat Jul 18, 5:00 PM ET, Hard Rock Stadium, Miami. Decides 3rd and 4th.

- Final — Sun Jul 19, 3:00 PM ET, MetLife Stadium, New Jersey. Decides 1st and 2nd.

Resolution

Resolves to the single ordering matching the official FIFA final standings: 1st and 2nd from the final, 3rd and 4th from the third-place playoff. Results after extra time or penalties count as that match's result. Exactly one answer resolves YES.

Trading closes Sun Jul 19 at 6:00 PM ET (22:00 UTC).

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