Will Jimmy Carter Survive the second quarter of 2024 (Apr 1 - June 30)
19
79
380
Jul 1
88%
chance

Resolves Yes if Jimmy survives the second quarter of 2024 (Apr 1 - June 30); Resolves No otherwise

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Empirically, there is a more than 75% chance he does not.

@MrBrien What “empirics” are you looking at 😂