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@JCDM Can resolve YES, thank you!

1% in 4 days is way too low relative to the liquid longer term ones

The long term ones have his survival far lower than the actual probability, which is more like 90% to reach 100.

Empirically, there is a more than 75% chance he does not.

@MrBrien What “empirics” are you looking at 😂

@potatopenguin If Jimmy Carter does not pass in May, the accumulated effects of his condition and continued decline likely increase the probability for June. This assumes no significant improvements or unexpected stabilization.