Resolution Criteria
This market resolves YES if Bitcoin's price is below $80,000 USD at the end of November 28, 2025 (11:59 PM CET / French time). The price will be determined using Google Finance. Resolution will be based on the closing price displayed on Google Finance for that date.
Considerations
The market resolves based on a single price point on a specific date. Bitcoin exhibits high intraday volatility, so the closing price on November 28 may differ significantly from prices earlier that day. Traders should monitor Google Finance directly for the official closing price on the resolution date.
Update 2025-11-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that they are viewing Google Finance in French time zone, but notes that Google Finance displays prices one hour behind their current French time (e.g., showing 10:14 PM when local time is 11:14 PM). This may affect which specific timestamp is used for resolution.
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[...]at the end of November 28, 2025 (11:59 PM CET / French time). The price will be determined using Google Finance. Resolution will be based on the closing price displayed on Google Finance for that date.
I think Google Finance shows the close each day based on UTC time, so an hour after CET/French time. But perhaps there's a way to set the timezone that I haven't figured out, or requires signing in.
@deagol I'm viewing this in the French time zone.
However, it's one hour behind my current time:
It's 11:14 PM here, but on Google Finance, I see the value at 10:14 PM.
@InvestorOakmont ok so I think it's best to align with the Google close (UTC) and not mention French time? and maybe add an hour to the market close time, if you want to allow trading to continue right up to the deadline.
@InvestorOakmont in Google it can be tricky to tell which figure is which. The figures shown when hovering over the daily chart (highlighted in red below) are more ephemeral than the "Prev close" value they give, which is at midnight UTC (so an hour behind you) and will remain static throughout the next day (highlighted in blue below). The later is what I think we should use, and mostly aligns with the description here (except it's UTC not French time).
