MANIFOLD
Will Dragon Age 4 have a Metacritic metascore >X on the one-week anniversary of its release?
10
Ṁ1kṀ2.3k
resolved Nov 8
Resolved
NO
>95
Resolved
NO
>90
Resolved
NO
>85
Resolved
YES
>80
Resolved
YES
>75
Resolved
YES
>70
Resolved
YES
>65
Resolved
YES
>60
Resolved
YES
>55
Resolved
YES
>50

Market will resolve one week after the game's general release (not early access or preview periods for preorders). On that date, I will check the metascore on Metacritic--the one based on critic reviews, not user scores--and resolve each submarket accordingly.

Note that the metascore must be above X to resolve the submarket as "yes." If the metascore is 80, the the >80 market resolves "no."

Thanks to Ziddletwix for the structure, as this market is based on the one they are runnign for Deadpool & Wolverine: https://manifold.markets/Ziddletwix/will-deadpool-wolverine-2024-have-a-a9223a54e544

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