Resolution criteria

This market resolves to "Yes" if the closing price of Bitcoin (BTC) increases by at least 5% from its closing price on July 13, 2025, within the next 7 days (by July 20, 2025). The closing price on July 13, 2025, is $118,869.00. Therefore, the market will resolve to "Yes" if the closing price on any day from July 14 to July 20, 2025, is at least $124,812.45. If this condition is not met, the market resolves to "No." Closing prices will be verified using data from reputable financial sources such as MarketWatch.

Background

As of July 13, 2025, Bitcoin is trading at $118,869.00. Recent forecasts suggest potential price increases, with some analysts predicting Bitcoin could reach $124,934 by August 11, 2025, representing a 6.14% increase from the current price. (coincodex.com) Additionally, Bitcoin has recently achieved new all-time highs, surpassing $112,000 on July 10, 2025. (latestly.com)

Considerations

Bitcoin's price is highly volatile and influenced by various factors, including market sentiment, regulatory developments, and macroeconomic conditions. While recent trends and forecasts indicate potential for price increases, traders should consider the inherent risks and conduct thorough analysis before making predictions.