Hfdidiurht Idifhthdjdi's calibration
Grade: B-, Score: -2.72
Resolution probability
Probability after bet
Interpretation
- The green dot at (x%, y%) means when Hfdidiurht Idifhthdjdi bet YES at x%, the question resolved YES y% of the time on average.
- Perfect calibration would result in all green points being above the line, all red points below, and a score of zero.
- The score is the mean squared error for yes and no bets times -100.
- Each point is a bucket of bets weighted by bet amount with a maximum range of 10% (sell trades are excluded).
YES bets
NO bets
3 largest bets for each bucket
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
95%
97%
- Will the TETR.IO Blitz world record be at least 2 million by the end of 2025?YESṀ529
- Will the next static fire of Starship (ship 25, 6 engines) be completely successful?YESṀ505
- Will someone commit suicide as a result of instructions/recommendations/insults/suggestions from an AI chatbot by the end of 2024?YESṀ190