Will I get into MIT?
Dec 26

This market resolves YES if I apply and am admitted to MIT (the one in massachusets).

This market resolves NO if I apply and am not explicitly admitted to MIT (waitlist does not count).

I will manalink every YES-holder 50M if I apply early and am admitted early and will not need to purchase additional Mana to do so.

Get Ṁ600 play money
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this is an easy yes resolution

Yikes. Didn't you just fail those classes?

bought Ṁ50 NO from 85% to 73%
bought Ṁ500 YES from 43% to 75%
bought Ṁ50 NO

@Heliscone Does the market close NO if you decide not to apply if you think you have no chance?

bought Ṁ10 NO from 73% to 71%

@Bolivian_Alpaca Yeah, for sure

bought Ṁ10 NO from 71% to 69%

you forgot to mention that you went to Atlas and are in LIVE

predicts NO

Whoopsies, turns out I'll only be applying Fall 2024 as a senior (no longer applying this fall as a junior. how annoying.) So, it'll resolve december 2024.

bought Ṁ1,000 of NO

As an update, I'm applying this year, one year earlier than intended.

SAT 1590, GPA 4.00, I think I got a 5-7ish on the USAJMO last year? I don't recall.

Also, I'm not sure what I was thinking with the 50M *managram clause, but I'll still honor it I guess. If that happens I'll just be too giddy to care. Also, there's a reason this market is lower than the other MIT markets, and that's because I'm not anywhere near as insane as those folks (at least, the ones I've met in person I know to be way way way more impressive, intelligent, well-spoken, etc., all round higher quality humans than me).

bought Ṁ10 of YES

This seems significantly lower then the other Mit markets.. maybe bet it up?

Are you comfortable with sharing your SAT score, GPA, etc.?

predicts NO

@JeromeCampbell Sure, I'll share that in Fall 2024, when I expect to be applying! Until then, I'd expect some things to change

@Heliscone Thanks! I’ll wait until then to bet, but I’m rooting for you!

predicts NO

@JeromeCampbell Thanks! I've sent that update now :)