Markets resolve to my subjective probabilities after market close. I will not bet. The market is unranked (I temporarily have it public but it will be private by Dec 25). The more Mana at stake, the more care I'll take in refining my beliefs. By default (for under 1000 total mana), I plan to spend only a couple hours researching after the market closes. If I'm still highly unsure of a controversial market, I may resolve N/A and compensate participants for their time.
I don't have strong views at the time of market creation, nor am I generally particularly conspiratorial (e.g. I don't think the CIA was behind JFK's assassination, that we're in a simulation, that intelligent extraterrestrial life has visited us). I'd say I just have the typical LessWronger's skepticism, I've been a little confused by this market's movements, and I saw a couple derivative markets that seemed kind of pointless, complicated, and possibly designed to just farm Mana from people that don't understand them.
Feel free to add your own markets.
What do you consider unethical? And, it says "to make 3000 mana." Does that mean they need to be successful in getting at least that amount, or that just would have been the expected amount had they been fully successful?
@ShadowyZephyr They need to be successful in getting at least that amount.
It seems tricky to operationalize exactly what I consider to be sufficiently unethical, but in general I'm thinking farming mana, with very little risk, from unsuspecting random users. Strategies not typically used in most other markets especially count.