A sample of LK-99 is valid if it stands up on one end in air when placed over a magnet, as demonstrated in the original video or Andrew's replication. If a valid sample of LK-99 is put into a high density liquid (such as clerici's solution) and then a dipole magnet is put under the container, does the LK-99 stably levitate away from the bottom of the container?
If convincing video of stable levitation over a dipole in any fluid is released, then this market resolves to yes. (This market also resolves to yes if an LK-99 sample levitates in air). If this experiment is performed using a fluid of at least 3 g/cm^3 and LK-99 does not levitate (ie, continues to just stand on one end, or flies away from the magnet), a one month timer starts. At the end of the timer, if the market has not resolved to yes, it resolves to no. On 08/04/2024, if the market has not resolved and the timer has not started, it resolves to N/A.
@HastingsGreer aw, resolves N/A if nobody attempts it? Shame, since it looks like the only reason it won't be attempted is because it's clear that it wouldn't levitate.
Kind of prevents accurate pricing of a market like this, since the probability will never get too low - if it's low that increases the chances of N/A and people won't bet.