Non-celebrity Vintage Boss Katana amplifier sells for more than price of 20 metric tons of iron ore or scrap by 2050
4
110Ṁ40
2050
51%
chance

I created this claim to test whether a widely-admired and loathed guitar amplifier, the BOSS Katana, will ascend to vintage status over the next several decades.

Some people say that if the Katana existed in the 1950-1980 heyday of rock and roll, every rock star would have used the Katana on recordings. (I tend to agree. It’s a great amp that is unjustly derided because it is mass produced and has no vacuum tubes.)

Criteria:

The BOSS Katana must be any BOSS Katana that was manufactured and sold before the year 2022.

The amp cannot have any celebrity associations. (E.g. owned by Kirk Hammett, played live at the Enormodome by Nigel Tufnel in 2027, et cetera.)

The price of the amp will be denominated either in terms of the market price of metric tons of iron ore or metric tons of scrap steel, whichever one is cheaper. (Perhaps sustainability laws will prevent the further mining of iron ore and the cost of it will become quite dear.)

If, before 2050, the amp sells for a price that is more than 20x the price of a metric ton of the iron material, then this claim resolves as YES.

The sale must happen in a location where the price and the sale can be verified by a third party who was not present at the transaction. Examples: eBay, Reverb.com, Christie’s, Sotheby’s, etc. Craigslist doesn’t count, nor does a rock star’s claim that he or she purchased it for $X.

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