IF I stay at my current employer: will 12-month satisfaction be ≥7/10?
3
100Ṁ45Nov 1
36%
chance
3
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
See https://manifold.markets/HansPeter/by-oct-31-2025-which-career-option?r=SGFuc1BldGVy
for context. Resolves 01.12.2025
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
There is an interesting inversion of causality here. I think there is a good chance you won't stay that long unless your satisfaction increases. So if you do stay until the end of 2026 your satisfaction will be reasonably high, otherwise you will have left and the market will resolve as N/A.
People are also trading
Related questions
IF I accept a local on-site/hybrid role: will 12-month satisfaction be ≥7/10?
45% chance
IF I pursue my own products/projects as the primary occupation: will 12-month satisfaction be ≥7/10?
61% chance
Will I be employed by my current company for at least 1 full year?
87% chance
IF I accept a remote-first role: will 12-month satisfaction be ≥7/10?
55% chance
Will I be employed by the end of 2025?
43% chance
Will I lose my job in the next 10 months?
28% chance
Will I enjoy my work after the first week/month/year?
What will be my employment status in May 2026?