Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the date (YYYY-MM-DD) when a comprehensive, formal peace treaty or ceasefire agreement is signed between the governments of Sudan and South Sudan, covering all ongoing cross-border conflicts and disputes.

For the purpose of this market, "peace" is defined as the official cessation of armed hostilities between the two sovereign states as documented by a verified international body, such as the African Union or the United Nations. There should also be no civil wars within each state.

If Darfur or other regions break away from Sudan, peace within the breakaway state and any external conflicts will still be considered part of Sudan for the purposes of this peace market.

If the conflicts remains unresolved by the close of the market, or if no such agreement is reached, the market will resolve to the furthest possible date as per the platform's standard procedures.

Background

Relations between Sudan and South Sudan have been strained since South Sudan's independence in 2011. Key points of contention include the status of the contested Abyei region, border demarcation, and disputes over oil transit fees. While various agreements (such as the 2012 Addis Ababa Agreement) have been signed in the past, they have frequently been undermined by implementation failures and renewed skirmishes. Current geopolitical instability within Sudan, particularly following the outbreak of civil war in April 2023, has further complicated diplomatic efforts between Khartoum and Juba.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.