Will I get to a 100 day streak on Manifold in May 2024?
17
1kṀ5773resolved May 27
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I started an account on Manifold earlier this year, and on the day that I’m creating this market (May 11, 2024), I am at an 84-day streak. 🔥
Will I make it 100 days?
I’ll post a screenshot to prove my victory/defeat. I won’t bet on this market.
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@Kraalnaxx I think yes, though the last time I tried that the first time I had a streak going, it didn’t work (but I would contact Manifold this time if it didn’t work).
I DO know about this, so my streak is still going strong today: https://manifold.markets/Joshua/did-you-know-theres-a-big-today-whe?r=SFdI
@HWH Thanks for clarifying! I have a longer term streak market if you're interested https://manifold.markets/Kraalnaxx/will-i-reach-an-unbroken-500-day-pr?r=S3JhYWxuYXh4
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Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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