Will OpenAI announce a model with a name containing the string "GPT-4b" in 2025 | Manifold

Will OpenAI announce a model with a name containing the string "GPT-4b" in 2025

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Dec 31

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Inspired by this article: https://www.technologyreview.com/2025/01/17/1110086/openai-has-created-an-ai-model-for-longevity-science/

Resolves to "yes" if OpenAI announces a model which has a name containing the string "GPT-4b" (case insensitive) and otherwise resolves to "no"

Releasing the model is not required for the market to resolve to "yes". It's enough that OpenAI announces that they have created such model

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They already announced a model called GPT-4b in 2025, as was covered in the MIT technology review?

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