Will this market complete at least 10 cycles between 50% and 25%?
14
347Ṁ7830resolved Mar 19
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
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ALL
I'll count the times this market's rounded/displayed probability goes to 25% and back to 50%. This resolves YES if the count reaches 10, and NO if the market closes before that.
Mar 16, 12:13am: That's 7!
Mar 16, 12:13am: If the probability displayed on the screen at the top is at most 25 and later it is at least 50 then that's one cycle completed.
Mar 16, 7:26pm: We're at 9 cycles.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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