Will this market complete at least 10 cycles between 50% and 25%?

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resolved Mar 19

Resolved

YES

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I'll count the times this market's rounded/displayed probability goes to 25% and back to 50%. This resolves YES if the count reaches 10, and NO if the market closes before that. Mar 16, 12:13am: That's 7! Mar 16, 12:13am: If the probability displayed on the screen at the top is at most 25 and later it is at least 50 then that's one cycle completed. Mar 16, 7:26pm: We're at 9 cycles.

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bought Ṁ1 of NO

Hehe

bought Ṁ1 of YES

Made a suggestion on discord of how you can have both <meme goes here>

bought Ṁ22 of YES

I liked the old buy/sell system better

bought Ṁ2 of NO

You can cash out by buying the shares you don't hold

sold Ṁ1 of YES

Apparently, to sell, you buy the opposite, and make sure you have equal shares of both. I think.

sold Ṁ190 of NO

This is weird

sold Ṁ589 of YES

I have no idea how this market works

bought Ṁ430 of NO

I thought I could sell this.

bought Ṁ1 of YES

Staying out. Ambiguity risk.

bought Ṁ1 of NO

Does it count going below 25% or above 50%? Or does it have to be exact?

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