Will Biden have to step down from his current (or any future) Presidential role due to health reasons? | Manifold

Will Biden have to step down from his current (or any future) Presidential role due to health reasons?

Plus

49

Ṁ17k

2029

7%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This includes his current Presidential term and any future one he may win.

Resolves YES if he has serious health concerns and needs to step down permanently from being President. This also includes death (which is a pretty serious health concern), otherwise resolves NO. Also resolves NO if he does not win a second term and has served all of his first.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#2024 US Election

#Future US Presidents

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Do not resolve this market before Inauguration Day. (I say this against my own interests!)

@PatrickLV I wonder how long before inauguration something has to happen for the VP to get sworn in. Presumably if Biden gets a heart attack at 11:59 on inauguration day they'll just skip her and inaugurate Trump, but how far back does it go? Ten minutes? One day? Three?

@PatrickLV I will resolve this when Biden is no longer President, and based on how it happened, did step down before inauguration day for health reasons or if it goes to plan and Trump becomes President.

bought Ṁ50 NO

This is currently assuming something like an 80% chance of him having to step down if he wins reelection. it's aso much higher than Harris's odds of being president in other markets.

Related questions

Will Joe Biden resign in his first term?

When will Joe Biden resign from, be removed from, or otherwise give up the Presidency?

Will Joe Biden resign the presidency at any point during this term or potential future term?

Will Joe Biden resign during his first term?

President Biden will withdraw from Democrat nomination or nomination race for health reasons.

Will Joe Biden have to withdraw from the Presidential race because of illness?

If Biden drops out, will he also resign during his first term?

Will Joe Biden suffer an injury from a fall in the remainder of his first term?

Will Joe Biden suffer a stroke or heart attack before January 20, 2025?

Will President Biden resign his Presidency to Kamala Harris before the newly elected President is installed in January?

Related questions

Will Joe Biden resign in his first term?

Will Joe Biden have to withdraw from the Presidential race because of illness?

When will Joe Biden resign from, be removed from, or otherwise give up the Presidency?

If Biden drops out, will he also resign during his first term?

Will Joe Biden resign the presidency at any point during this term or potential future term?

Will Joe Biden suffer an injury from a fall in the remainder of his first term?

Will Joe Biden resign during his first term?

Will Joe Biden suffer a stroke or heart attack before January 20, 2025?

President Biden will withdraw from Democrat nomination or nomination race for health reasons.

Will President Biden resign his Presidency to Kamala Harris before the newly elected President is installed in January?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules