I'm going to be in a boat departing from Magaluf in Mallorca. Will the clouds clear and let me get a decent photo during totality ?

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if I successfully capture a clear photograph showing the solar corona during the totality phase of the August 12, 2026 solar eclipse, taken from a boat departing from Magaluf, Mallorca. A "clear photograph" means the eclipsed sun is visibly distinct and not entirely obscured or ruined by cloud cover, fog, or haze.

This market will resolve to NO if I go on the boat trip but fail to capture a clear photo of totality (e.g., due to clouds, marine layer, or camera issues).

This market will resolve to N/A if the boat trip departing from Magaluf is canceled, or if I am otherwise unable to embark on the trip on August 12, 2026.

Background

On August 12, 2026, a total solar eclipse will pass over Spain and the Balearic Islands. Mallorca sits at the very end of the path of totality, meaning the total eclipse will occur extremely low in the sky—only about 2° to 2.5° above the western horizon—at approximately 20:31 local time (CEST), shortly before sunset.

Because the eclipse is so low, viewing it from land requires an completely unobstructed view to the west. Observing from a boat departing from Magaluf (on the southwest coast of Mallorca) provides an excellent over-water line of sight, but capturing a clear photo remains highly dependent on the presence of low-level clouds, haze, or a marine layer at the horizon.

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