Will there be more YES positions than NO positions? (Smith #s)
Will there be more YES positions than NO positions? (Smith #s)
22
418Ṁ4852
resolved Apr 14
Resolved
NO

At close.

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predictedYES 2y

8-7 Yes

2y

@jeremiahsamroo @JimAusman
the first one of you to switch to team no (and stay there at market close with a smith number), ill ship you 25 mana

predictedYES 2y

@SimonRudin shit that was all you had to say

@SimonRudin sss on dc

predictedYES 2y

@SimonRudin I’ll give the same to anyone switching from no to yes.

2y

@jeremiahsamroo will send when market is over

predictedYES 2y

@AdityaJain Not valid for existing yes

predictedNO 2y

I will add an additional 25 mana too

predictedYES 2y

@jeremiahsamroo 60 if you switch to yes and stay there

@AdityaJain i can pay you to switch as well if you'd like

predictedYES 2y

@MarcusAbramovitch You’ll have to pay me a considerable amount since I’ll incur heavy loss if I switch rn.

predictedNO 2y

@AdityaJain youre going to lose anyway

predictedNO 2y

@AdityaJain you no longer incur a heavy loss

predictedYES 2y

@MarcusAbramovitch should we settle it on 50?

predictedNO 2y

@AdityaJain Ill ship you 50 to switch, sure

predictedNO 2y

@AdityaJain can i make this easiest and drop a mana link here?

predictedNO 2y
predictedNO 2y

@jeremiahsamroo I'm friends with simon in real life. His account is less than 1 week old. Take 50 from me (i owe you 25 also) and simon will give me 25 in a week. https://manifold.markets/link/4dyFCKdj

predictedNO 2y
predictedNO 2y
predictedNO 2y
2y

@GuilhermeZeusDantaseMoura You need to sell a share or 2. Your position isn’t a smith number.

predictedYES 2y

@JimAusman Your position is not a smith # --you need 121 or 94 total mana in your position

2y

@jeremiahsamroo Right But when I bet the probabilities change

@jeremiahsamroo I recommend you change to team No

predictedYES 2y

Am heavily considering atp

predictedNO 2y

Youll be able to breathe much easier

2y

@MarcusAbramovitch I was trying to force the NOs off their positions but this is hard

@jeremiahsamroo take the 121 spot

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