1,000
3.00Related questions
Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
43% chance
Embryo Selection—2030
13% chance
Will over 1,000,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
28% chance
Will embryo selection be mentioned during a U.S. presidential debate before 2030?
34% chance
Will over 10,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
84% chance
What will be the first ten countries to do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
Will it be possible to create a human embryo through an API by 2050?
35% chance
IVF—2050
29% chance
Will “Designer babies” be available by the year 2040?
51% chance
Will human intelligence augmentation / embryo selection get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
52% chance