Is the “Minnesota fraud” real?
3
1kṀ350Dec 29
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
36%
Yes- over $1b in fraud
28%
Yes, but overblown. <$100m total fraud and/or a clear coordinated effort by
18%
Yes, but insignificant. <$20m total fraud, no coordinated effort
18%
No, nobody will be convicted, no real fraud will be identified
I saw claims of $110m uncovered in a day, $9b estimated total fraud .. I haven’t looked into it. Just want to know if it’s real
Context:
If we get good $$ fraud amounts, those take precedence. The coordinated effort stuff is secondary in case it all fizzles out and we never get real numbers, but there’s clearly a coordinated effort (or not).
Resolves either to a verifiable/well-sourced factual consensus or in a vibes situation, resolves conservatively (I.e. tie breakers are downgraded, $99m -> resolves less than 100m)
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