Will Major News Sources Consider 3I/Atlas More Than Asteroid?
3
100Ṁ130
Nov 14
16%
chance

Purpose

To evaluate whether public and institutional media framing of 3I/ATLAS shifts from “asteroid/comet classification” toward implying an unusual or engineered nature (e.g., interstellar object with non-natural characteristics) within the resolution window.

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if, by the close date:

  • Two or more major international news outlets (e.g., Reuters, BBC, CNN, NY Times, The Guardian, Nature News, Science Magazine) publish stories that explicitly describe 3I/ATLAS as something more than an asteroid or comet, such as suggesting artificial origin, intelligent control, anomalous geometry, or unexplained propulsion; or

  • An official scientific institution (Harvard, NASA-affiliated group, etc.) is quoted in those outlets describing 3I/ATLAS as exhibiting non-gravitational or non-natural properties beyond normal cometary behavior.

It resolves NO if, by the close date:

  • The majority of reputable science and news coverage continues to classify 3I/ATLAS as a natural interstellar object (asteroid/comet), or

  • No credible outlet reports any alternative interpretation.

Evidence Standard

  • Acceptable sources: reputable science publications, established news agencies, or official press releases.

  • The content must be publicly viewable and dated within the market window.

  • Anonymous claims, YouTube videos, or personal blogs are not valid evidence.

I do plan to vote in this market. Any objections or doubts as to how I judge or vote can be disputed but as a preliminary it should be known straightforwardly

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy