Purpose
To evaluate whether public and institutional media framing of 3I/ATLAS shifts from “asteroid/comet classification” toward implying an unusual or engineered nature (e.g., interstellar object with non-natural characteristics) within the resolution window.
Resolution Criteria
This market resolves YES if, by the close date:
Two or more major international news outlets (e.g., Reuters, BBC, CNN, NY Times, The Guardian, Nature News, Science Magazine) publish stories that explicitly describe 3I/ATLAS as something more than an asteroid or comet, such as suggesting artificial origin, intelligent control, anomalous geometry, or unexplained propulsion; or
An official scientific institution (Harvard, NASA-affiliated group, etc.) is quoted in those outlets describing 3I/ATLAS as exhibiting non-gravitational or non-natural properties beyond normal cometary behavior.
It resolves NO if, by the close date:
The majority of reputable science and news coverage continues to classify 3I/ATLAS as a natural interstellar object (asteroid/comet), or
No credible outlet reports any alternative interpretation.
Evidence Standard
Acceptable sources: reputable science publications, established news agencies, or official press releases.
The content must be publicly viewable and dated within the market window.
Anonymous claims, YouTube videos, or personal blogs are not valid evidence.
I do plan to vote in this market. Any objections or doubts as to how I judge or vote can be disputed but as a preliminary it should be known straightforwardly