Yes

@GazDownright The UAE is higher than the US

I'm not sure how this is going to resolve, but only a 10% chance of the UAE coming out ahead seems far too low.

@equinoxhq Good call!

@GazDownright Any idea why this was so low? After looking at the data I could find, my internal estimate was that the UAE coming out ahead was more likely than not, but I chickened out and only bet it up to 25% one time, and then didn't put more in when people bet it back down. Sigh... 😂

@equinoxhq Your guess is as good as mine. A combination of it seeming unlikely and group think? Perhaps with 10x the traders we'd get a more representative chance. You were spot on that it seemed too low.

https://hdr.undp.org/content/202324-human-development-report-will-be-launched-13-march-2024

US 0.921 growth: 0.1%

UAE: 0.911 growth 0.8%

If this year will be the same it wont go further. So i guess this is a NO.

@ftkurt Did you factor in the 18 months since the previous HDR?

@GazDownright I assumed these are published yearly

@ftkurt They usually are but, this will be only the second report since 2020.