MANIFOLD
Will Eliezer think there was a significant portion of the LessWrong post *My Objections...* which holds up to scrutiny?
3
Ṁ110Ṁ60
resolved Mar 25
Resolved
N/A

Here's the post: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wAczufCpMdaamF9fy/my-objections-to-we-re-all-gonna-die-with-eliezer-yudkowsky#

If Eliezer reads this, will he think a significant portion of the post holds up to scrutiny? Resolves according to Eliezer's opinion.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will "Eliezer's Unteachable Methods of Sanity" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
76% chance
Will "Eliezer's Lost Alignment Articles / The Arbit..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Eliezer and I wrote a book: If Anyone Builds ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "Problems I've Tried to Legibilize" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "Reviewing LessWrong: Screwtape's Basic Answer" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
5% chance
Will "The Most Common Bad Argument In These Parts" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
25% chance
Will "Three Months In, Evaluating Three Rationalist..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Von Neumann's Fallacy and You" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Obstacles in ARC's agenda: Finding explanations" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Interpretability Will Not Reliably Find Decep..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
38% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy