Resolves to the probability I assign after reviewing evidence in a year.

Information about the virus: https://github.com/fractureiser-investigation/fractureiser

My current probability for this is like 13%, but I know basically nothing about viruses, or how unusual this is. Its just kinda suspicious to me that such a nasty attack would happen so soon after ChatGPT is released. Also, I'm promising now not to bet in this market, except my original bet making the probability go to 13%.