Mystery Market #3 (corrected version)!
3
275Ṁ112
resolved Mar 6
Resolved
YES
3
Resolved
YES
5
Resolved
YES
2
Resolved
YES
1
Resolved
50%
7
Resolved
NO
4
Resolved
50%
6

Mystery Markets will be judged on an objective, random criteria (e.g. a random number generator, the color of the 5th car I see after posting this, multiple stacked RNG generators, how many traders/comments a market gets, etc.). Each Mystery Market lasts for a week, and extra hints (decided on before each Mystery Market is opened) are released periodically (once a day, once every two days, etc. Depends on the market). Each Mystery Market will have different hints and resolution criteria. The final resolution criteria and result will be revealed at the end of the market. Hints will give you more information to place bets with, but will not necessarily reveal the criteria or exact probability by the end of the market. Please leave a comment if you have questions or see ambiguity in any hints. I will do my best to clear up any confusion.


Hint #1: One answer choice will resolve at the end of each day. Each resolution can either be YES or NO.

Hint #2: Theoretically, each option should have about a ½ chance of resolving YES. However, this can be manipulated by savvy traders who have figured out the resolution criteria.

Hint #3: Yes is no, and no is yes.

Hint #4: The number of YES and NO traders on each option are part of the resolution criteria for that option.


Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ1
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy