Will Americans be able to buy short-barreled "pistol brace" guns again?
2
16
Ṁ30Ṁ90
resolved Apr 27
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Option resolves YES if the pistol-brace situation returns to more-or-less the 2022 situation, where Americans could buy a not-technically-an-SBR gun with a pistol brace in most states, without having to file for an NFA tax stamp. If the NFA is struck down or repealed, that could also result in a YES resolution, as long as the local gun shops are selling stamp-free SBRs.
I will NOT resolve this simply based on a court ruling, or an ATF memo. The deciding factor will be whether the local gun shops in most states are willing to transfer a stamp-free technically-not-SBRs. If there's ambiguity, I'll defer to whether Family Firearms is willing to sell these weapons.
Market resolves November 2024.
Get Ṁ200 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ14 |
Related questions
Related questions
In adjudicating US v Rahimi, will the Supreme Court rule that 18 USC 922 (g)(8) violates the 2nd Amendment?
14% chance
Will "ATF Pass Rule to ELIMINATE PRIVATE SALES!"?
41% chance
Will SCOTUS rule in favor of the NRA in National Rifle Association v. Vullo before July 31, 2024?
78% chance
Will Trump be photographed holding a gun before election day?
41% chance
Will the gun law Hunter Biden was charged under be found unconstitutional?
35% chance
Will SCOTUS hold that people subject to domestic violence restraining orders can be banned from possessing firearms?
89% chance
Will any charges be brought as a result of Trump receiving or handling firearms while under federal indictment?
18% chance
In which year before 2031 will it be legal to purchase an assault weapon in Washington State?
Will the Washington state assault weapons ban be struck down?
25% chance
Will drones become restricted similarly to guns in the US by 2030?
25% chance