Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Portugal is eliminated at any stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup (including the group stage and knockout rounds), and NO if they win the tournament.

Because Portugal was officially eliminated from the 2026 FIFA World Cup after losing 1-0 to Spain in the Round of 16 on July 6, 2026, this market resolves to YES. Official results can be verified on the FIFA World Cup website.

Background

Portugal competed in Group K of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, advancing alongside Colombia to the knockout stage. After defeating Croatia 2-1 in the Round of 32, they faced Spain in the Round of 16 on July 6, 2026. A 91st-minute goal by Spain's Mikel Merino sealed a 1-0 victory, knocking Portugal out of the tournament.

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