Will YouTuber any_austin have at least 370k subscribers before 2025?
5
122
90
2025
75%
chance

Resolves yes if youtube.com/@any_austin displays 370k subscribers or more at any time before January 1st, 2025 (EST).

any_austin has been creating videos about video games for roughly 10 years and, as of market creation, has 141k subscribers. However, more than half of those have subscribed since September 2022. This appears to be largely due to the success of his Unemployment Survey series, in which he roleplays as an enumerator for the Bureau of Labor Statistics and surveys (by deduction) every citizen of a given video game city to determine its unemployment rate, but he also has seen some moderate success in other new series.

His content appears boring and/or juvenile at first glance, and thus may have trouble reaching its target audience. Socialblade currently predicts that he will have approximately this number of subscribers at the specified date.

Get Ṁ200 play money
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bought Ṁ15 of YES

NakeyJakey name drop. I was really aiming for a target that justified 50/50, but I just can't win

predicts YES

(bumped the target up as the only positions are held by bots and socialblade's prediction has moved considerably since I first asked)

@evergreenemily I bet 25 Mana against you participating in this market that you would love this guy 🙂

bought Ṁ6 of YES

@Frogswap I checked out his "uninteresting places in TOTK" video and loved that!

bought Ṁ25 of YES

He mentioned on his patreon that he intends to make more videos like this one

, which did big numbers (300k views in 2 months so far).