If market close at multiples of 10 this market resolves to YES, otherwise resolves to NO
24
470Ṁ32k
resolved Feb 11
Resolved
NO

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predictedYES

@FranklinBaldo you really need to explain your thought process behind this one

predictedYES

@bingeworthy none really, i forgot about this market until about a hour ago. i saw it and make this half baked bot and try my luck. i still dont know why it didnt work in the last minute...

predictedYES

@bingeworthy i lost but i am richer than a hour ago...

predictedNO

@FranklinBaldo When I first looked at it, every value I bet it would jump between multiples of ten thanks to your limit orders. It was only with ~4500 that I could get it to something 1-9%.

But then other people found a way. It was a non-multiple for most of the last hour. I dropped 8500 to get it down to 6%.

jump between multiples of ten

@bingeworthy and I noticed similar, and I've still been wondering how Ṁ1 looked like it would make a high volume market jump 10%

predictedYES

@LucaMasters I screenshotted this phenomenon and posted it in the manifold discord

my risk averse strategy paid off but not as much as if i was fully committed

Whew!

Bless you

My life is in your hands, oilers.

predictedNO

Seems like this would be really hard to execute on. The Yes's could either win by luck (1/10 chance) or by manipulation during the last few minutes prior to market close. And seeing how badly that went for the "Resolves to market minus 10%" market, I'm skeptical it would work here

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