CI2026: Will COP31 agree on a baseline year for the objective of tripling adaptation finance?

Question

This CI2026 market closes 20 Nov 2026. Resolves to N/A or one of the options when results are known (on unfccc.int/documents, look out for a post-summit document entitled something like Matters Relating to the New Collective Quantified Goal on Climate Finance, or Matters Relating to the Global Goal on Adaptation)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, 2025, followed by 2019 and Floating are most likely. See the market for live updates (3 traders, as of Oct 27, 2026).

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