This market resolves YES if at any time, the displayed percentage of the market is at or below 20%. It resolves NO if this has not happened by the closing date.
Of course, there will likely be a delay between the market hitting 20% and me noticing this fact.
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| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ25 |
@FlorisvanDoorn Yeah, typically you should add a condition that it needs to stay at the value for a certain amount of time, or some other way of avoiding the loophole. I had a market that would have had a similar loophole, but I closed it in a way that forces anyone trying to exploit it to risk losing their mana: https://manifold.markets/JosephNoonan/will-anyone-bet-no-on-this-market
@JosephNoonan I'm retrying it without modification here. I think bettors can make the exploit less profitable, which I hoped what would happen here. https://manifold.markets/FlorisvanDoorn/will-this-markets-value-ever-hit-20-ff4a3e6408a0