Will there be an even number of big swings in this market?
17
290Ṁ3237
resolved Apr 8
Resolved
YES

This market only resolves at the closing time (a bit less than a week after opening). At that time, I will count the number of trades that changed the displayed market rate by at least 30%. If that number is even, this market resolves YES. If that number is odd, this market resolves NO.

0 is even.

Will this market be incredibly volatile? I don't know!

Fun
Whale Watching
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ997
2Ṁ274
3Ṁ76
4Ṁ52
5Ṁ23
Sort by:

To my best knowledge there are exactly 4 trades that changed the percentage by 30% or more

I'll give everyone a little time to object to this count before I resolve this market.

by my best count the number is now 4.

predictedNO

@FlorisvanDoorn I may have misplayed this

Is the number 1 currently?

predictedNO

@xyz yes

This one makes my head hurt

@AlexbGoode Haha. I have no idea what will happen here, except that I expect that there will be a lot of trades near the closing time.

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules