Will Mark Watson perform a 24 hour show in 2024?
Will Mark Watson perform a 24 hour show in 2024?
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70Ṁ500resolved Jan 1
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Mark Watson is a comedian who has done 24 hour shows in the past. From the brief reading I've done, I think he hasn't done a live one since 2019, although he did do a couple of online ones during the pandemic. Will he do one in 2024?
I'm not going to be pedantic about the exact timing, or how long he can take for a toilet break or whatever. If he considers it a 24 hour show and there's not a massive outcry about what a fraud he is, I'll count that.
I'll also count it if it's longer than 24 hours (like his 26.2 hour "marathon").
If he starts on 31st December and finishes on 1st January, I'll count it, on either end of the year.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.