Jakob Schubert has done the first ascent of Project Big! As far as I know he hasn't proposed a grade yet. What will he propose?
This market resolves to the first statement he makes that appears to be his considered opinion. (Some subjectivity, but I think it should be clear enough.)
If he has already proposed a grade (since climbing it) I'll resolve to that.
If he refuses to grade it for some reason I'll leave it open for a bit to see if he changes his mind but then resolve NA. "Refusal to grade" is not an acceptable answer for the multiple choice.
If you're adding new answers, please put them in French grades for consistency. In case of duplicates, I'll resolve to the first one submitted.
I will bet in this market.
Will it be confirmed? (Before any other 9c)
https://manifold.markets/Fion/will-project-big-be-the-first-sport?r=Rmlvbg
I've updated my guess downwards slightly after watching the video. I feel like if you're successfully doing it in such damp conditions you must have a bit of margin, and if it's 9c, surely you shouldn't have much if any margin.
@Fion Agreed but from my watch I don't think any of the crux sections were wet, only the part after the crux which was easy enough regardless? I could be wrong I didn't pay careful attention to the video.
Love markets like this! Schubert has only climbing 1 9b+ before I think, and though he made comments about it possibly being 9c at the end of the day he climbed it quickly enough that I think it's less likely he'll think it's 9c than 9b+. I doubt any other grade is likely (9b+/c maybe?) given how long it took him though.
@Weepinbell yeah, it would be pretty bold to propose 9c having only done one 9b+. But it probably is harder than Perfecto Mundo.
I don't really know whether "/" grades are popular at the moment. I think some climbers prefer to commit to a single grade.