Will the person who's meant to be taking over my tenancy fall through?
7
100Ṁ339
resolved Mar 28
Resolved
NO
I live in a flatshare with friends, and we're contracted until November. However, I've signed a new contract for a place with my girlfriend starting on the 1st of April. My current landlord says he'll release me from the first contract if I find someone to replace me, and pay an admin fee. I've lined up a girlfriend of a friend of a friend to replace me and she sent the letting agency her details a couple of weeks ago. I've asked for an update on the situation but she hasn't replied to me for a few days, and the lettings agency practically employ a no-reply policy. I'm currently legally liable for double-rent next month and I'm getting a teensy bit nervous. Mar 13, 2:56pm: Incoming tenant replied on Friday saying the letting agency said they’d send forms that day. Mar 28, 3:18pm: They came through.
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ46
2Ṁ31
3Ṁ22
4Ṁ9

People are also trading

Sort by:
Hah, disregard me. I read the title as "come through".
I think you did it correctly, currently this market is hedging against the chance of you having to pay double rent next month (assuming enough people are willing to buy no). Also: That's rough, good luck with the situation.
Or do you mean that if it falls through, more profits will be made by traders if the market probability is low than if it's high. and therefore I'll make more profit? Is that the case - I don't actually understand how this works.
If it falls through, having a big stake in YES will make me mana-rich, right?
This market sounds like you want a much bigger stake in NO than in YES so that if it falls through at least you'll be mana-rich.

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy