Will a US local election official refuse to certify any state or federal election results in 2024?
Plus
61
Ṁ4424Jan 1
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market is part of the Humans v Bots Battle 2024, where AI forecasters will duke it out on the most important world questions of 2024. Can you beat the bots and snag part of the 250,000 Mana (~$2.5k) prize?
As reported by the Election Assistance Commission. https://www.propublica.org/article/election-officials-refused-certify-results-few-held-accountable
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will the 2024 US Presidential Election results be officially contested by either major party?
14% chance
Who denies the result of the 2024 election?
Will any US state fail to certify the election and submit a slate of electors before Jan/1/2025?
16% chance
Will a US state legislature refuse to recognise the popular vote winner in the state in the 2024 Presidential Election?
8% chance
Will any major news outlet discredit an election's results due to use of LLMs in 2024?
38% chance
In 2024, will CISA report a case of tampering with US voting machines to alter vote count?
22% chance
Will the certified electoral votes differ from the final votes in the 2024 US election?
31% chance
Will there be a statewide recount of votes for the 2024 US presidential election?
12% chance
Will the 2024 US election have an outcome that cannot be certified by the reasonable observers?
15% chance
Will anyone get charged with a crime for failing to certify the 2024 presidential election?
18% chance