Will the 2024 presidential election feature an upset in a state?

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Ṁ36kNov 12

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Define an *upset* to be any one of the following:

Kamala Harris* loses a state colored blue below (or loses DC)

Donald Trump* loses a state colored red below

Will there be an upset in the 2024 presidential election?

* If Harris or Trump gets replaced, this question will instead be about whoever the new Democratic / Republican nominee is.

(The winner of a state is the person who gets the most votes in that state.)

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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I’m curious about which states YES holders think will have an upset

bought Ṁ50 YES

NH, VA, AK, TX, FL, OH, IA are probably my top guesses (not in order)

(Edit: also ME)

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