"Next NYT/Siena poll": the next national Biden vs. Trump poll with pollster "The New York Times/Siena College" to appear on The FiveThirtyEight website.
Multiple polls may appear around the same time, because polls vary along dimensions like "likely voters or registered voters" and "just Biden vs. Trump or other candidates too". If there is both a likely voter poll and a registered voter poll, I'll look at the likely voter poll. Then, if there's a Biden vs. Trump poll and a poll that includes other candidates, I'll look at the Biden vs. Trump number. The answer will be determined by the "net result" column here.
If no such poll is published by 11:59pm PT on July 31, this question will resolve N/A.
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https://x.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1808554729976270854
Donald Trump leads Joe Biden by 6 points among likely voters nationwide in a New York Times/Siena College poll taken after the debate. He leads by 9 points among registered voters.