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MANIFOLD
How many tracks in Drake's upcoming Iceman album will use the A minor (Am) chord?
2
Ṁ1kṀ433
May 14
13.7 tracks
expected
12%
0 - 4
19%
5 - 9
29%
10 - 14
17%
15 - 19
13%
20 - 25
10%
Above 25

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the count of tracks on the standard version of Drake's album Iceman (scheduled for release May 15, 2026) that feature an A minor (Am) chord.

  • Definition: An A minor chord is defined as a triad consisting of the notes A, C, and E. Any variation containing the root A minor triad (e.g., Am7, Am9, Am(add9)) counts as a positive instance.

  • Resolution Source: The determination will be based on consensus on chord listings from community-run websites like https://www.ultimate-guitar.com.

  • Edge Cases: Only the standard album tracklist available on major streaming platforms (e.g., Spotify, Apple Music) will be considered. Deluxe editions, bonus tracks added post-release, or remixes are excluded.

  • Ambiguity: If no definitive analysis is available from reputable sources by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve via a community poll to determine the most widely accepted count based on available evidence.

Background

Drake announced his ninth studio album, Iceman, with a release date of May 15, 2026. The announcement followed a viral marketing campaign involving physical installations, including a notable ice sculpture in Toronto. This market is premised on the ‘A minor’ line in Kendrick Lamar’s Drake diss ‘Not Like Us,’ in which the phrase operates as a double entendre involving both a musical chord and a disparaging reference to Drake.

This description was generated by AI and lightly edited.

Market context
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