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MANIFOLD
When will I, a transgender woman, visit Hungary?
1
Ṁ150Ṁ40
2090
June 28, 2031
34%
Before 2027
50%
Before 2028
50%
Before 2029
50%
Before 2030
66%
Before 2035
76%
Before 2040

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to the date (YYYY-MM-DD) on which I, the creator, first set foot in Hungary. For the purposes of this market, "visiting" is defined as any physical presence within the internationally recognized borders of Hungary, including transit through a Hungarian airport or train station.

Background

Currently, I would not visit Hungary due to perceived danger from the government's anti-transgender attitude. With Orban's loss, this may change.

I am very likely to visit Hungary if I feel it is safe. I travel to 6-10 EU countries per year for work. I would have already made plans to visit this year or next if it were not for the political situation.

Market context
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