When will I, a transgender woman, visit Hungary?
1
Ṁ150Ṁ402090
June 28, 2031
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
34%
Before 2027
50%
Before 2028
50%
Before 2029
50%
Before 2030
66%
Before 2035
76%
Before 2040
Resolution criteria
This market resolves to the date (YYYY-MM-DD) on which I, the creator, first set foot in Hungary. For the purposes of this market, "visiting" is defined as any physical presence within the internationally recognized borders of Hungary, including transit through a Hungarian airport or train station.
Background
Currently, I would not visit Hungary due to perceived danger from the government's anti-transgender attitude. With Orban's loss, this may change.
I am very likely to visit Hungary if I feel it is safe. I travel to 6-10 EU countries per year for work. I would have already made plans to visit this year or next if it were not for the political situation.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
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