Emil Abraham's calibration
Grade: B-, Score: -3.55
Probability after bet
- The green dot at (x%, y%) means when Emil Abraham bet YES at x%, the question resolved YES y% of the time on average.
- Perfect calibration would result in all green points being above the line, all red points below, and a score of zero.
- The score is the mean squared error for yes and no bets times -100.
- Each point is a bucket of bets weighted by bet amount with a maximum range of 10% (sell trades are excluded).
3 largest bets for each bucket
- Which Team, The Denver Nuggets OR The Miami Heat Will Have The Highest Scorer On Their Team For Game 3 Of NBA Finals?Ṁ50
- NBA Finals Game 4: Which Team, The Denver Nuggets OR The Miami Heat Will Have The Highest Scorer On Their Team?Ṁ50
- Will there be a major cybersecurity incident in 2023? (major enough to be covered by the NYT)Ṁ50