Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Atlus officially announces "Persona 6" before January 1, 2029. An official announcement is defined as a public statement from Atlus confirming the development or release of "Persona 6," which can include press releases, official trailers, or statements on Atlus' official website or verified social media accounts. If no such announcement is made by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."

Background

As of July 2025, Atlus has not officially announced "Persona 6." However, in a 2021 job listing, Atlus director Naoto Hiraoka mentioned the need to create a "6 which exceeds 5," indicating that development plans for "Persona 6" were underway. (gamesradar.com) Additionally, industry insiders have suggested that "Persona 6" is in development, with potential release windows in 2025 or 2026. (wccftech.com) Despite these indications, no official announcement has been made to date.

Considerations

Atlus has a history of releasing enhanced versions and spin-offs of their mainline "Persona" games, which can extend the time between new mainline entries. For example, "Persona 5" was released in 2016, followed by "Persona 5 Royal" in 2019 and various spin-offs thereafter. This pattern suggests that while development of "Persona 6" may be ongoing, the official announcement could be delayed to accommodate other projects or strategic release timing.