Season will randomly end before 12am, will it be left to the last minute or with a couple hours to spare? You decide. Bet now!
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🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ449 | |
2 | Ṁ65 | |
3 | Ṁ51 | |
4 | Ṁ27 | |
5 | Ṁ25 |
@higherLEVELING Similar for S1 and S2 https://manifold.markets/SimonGrayson/when-will-season-2s-random-closing#FYcnwjyMyjveTCkKDyy7
@SirCryptomind wait is it on random close time right now? when did this random close time start and how long does it run for 24h or 48h
@higherLEVELING Random. James kind of explains it in the comments of S2 I posted.
Ends randomly within 24h
This market could be interesting because the extent to which it diverges from the objective probability, might reflect the extent to which people care about juicing their returns purely for the purpose of getting higher in the rankings?
Vote NO, season ends at 9pm -- you'll lose money, but that loss isn't reflected in this season, only in season 4.
Vote NO, season ends at 11pm -- you'll turn a profit and boost your season-3 results
Vote YES, season ends at 9pm -- you turn a profit but it only counts towards season 4
Vote YES, season ends at 11pm -- you lose money and your loss occurs in season 3.
Unless I'm misunderstanding how the mechanics of "seasons" work on Manifold.