Will Season 3 end before 10pm EST today?
22
8
430
resolved Aug 2
Resolved
YES

Season will randomly end before 12am, will it be left to the last minute or with a couple hours to spare? You decide. Bet now!

Get Ṁ600 play money

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#NameTotal profit
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bought Ṁ200 of YES
bought Ṁ40 of NO

when did they announce it last season or the season prior? was it also late?

predicted NO

@SirCryptomind wait is it on random close time right now? when did this random close time start and how long does it run for 24h or 48h

predicted YES

@higherLEVELING Random. James kind of explains it in the comments of S2 I posted.
Ends randomly within 24h

predicted NO

@SirCryptomind oo ok do u happen to know how much time is left of the 24h there is?

predicted YES

@higherLEVELING 6 hrs 7 min

bought Ṁ10 of YES

for the record, 10:00 EST is 11:00 EDT

This market could be interesting because the extent to which it diverges from the objective probability, might reflect the extent to which people care about juicing their returns purely for the purpose of getting higher in the rankings?

Vote NO, season ends at 9pm -- you'll lose money, but that loss isn't reflected in this season, only in season 4.
Vote NO, season ends at 11pm -- you'll turn a profit and boost your season-3 results

Vote YES, season ends at 9pm -- you turn a profit but it only counts towards season 4
Vote YES, season ends at 11pm -- you lose money and your loss occurs in season 3.

Unless I'm misunderstanding how the mechanics of "seasons" work on Manifold.