This market resolves YES if the result is > 50%.
This market resolves NO if the result is < 50%.

After all, in either such situation, the people will have spoken and who am I to stand athwart the mob?

In the event this market resolves to exactly 50%, then this market resolves to match to my personal humble opinion expressed as PROB.

As an extra wrinkle, resolution shall take between 0 and 7 days, based on how closely my personal opinion matches the market outcome probability. (Better match = closer to 0).

I shall not bid on this market.

My precommitted opinion: d1a4506e6cdd7487cc21db153eb4a097b136219f

The resolution time and 50% criteria are attempted refinements on past markets such as: