Will the 2024 presidential election have at least 60% voter turnout
12
150Ṁ175
resolved Dec 17
Resolved
YES

for reference 2020's election had historic turnout that passed the 60% treshold.

Calculating the exact voter turnout in the US is a complicated problem, so I'll be resolving with whatever number appears for VEP on https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voter_turnout_in_United_States_presidential_elections
one month after the election is over

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@mods inactive creator.
1 month after election has passed
currently showing 63.9%
Last version before Dec 5th showed 63.7%
https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Voter_turnout_in_United_States_presidential_elections&oldid=1258580199

bought Ṁ5 NO

Related market, solves exactly to the number:

There are different definitions on Wiki. Will you resolve via VAP or VEP? (VEP is 2-5pp higher than VAP)

predictedYES

@drevv good point, VEP

Republicans are boycotting debates and elections

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